Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Retreats Below $38.50 Amid Dollar Strength

Silver (XAG/USD) is pulling back after touching recent highs above $39.00. Now trading below $38.50 as the US Dollar extends its rally. The decline comes as the US Dollar Index (DXY) posts gains for the fourth consecutive session.

Supported by a weak Euro amid political turmoil in France.

Although markets remain cautious about the Federal Reserve’s independence and rising expectations of rate cuts, the Greenback’s resilience is keeping precious metals under pressure.


Technical Analysis: $38.35 Support Key for Silver Bears

Silver Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, XAG/USD shows a bearish correction from last week’s one-month high at $39.07. Price action is testing support at $38.35 (August 25–26 lows).

  • A break below $38.35 could drag Silver toward the August 22 low at $37.70, with the next support at $37.25, the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
  • On the upside, immediate resistance lies near $38.75 and $38.85, followed by the August 22 high at $39.10 and July 22 high at $39.55.

Outlook for Traders

Silver traders should closely watch the $38.35 support zone. A downside break may accelerate bearish momentum, while a rebound above $38.75 could bring back buyers targeting $39.10 and beyond.

For now, Dollar strength remains the dominant driver, leaving Silver vulnerable to further declines.

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    🌍 FX Market Update – August 6, 2025

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    Australian Dollar Leads Gains, Asian Currencies Slip

    The foreign exchange market saw notable movement today, with the Australian Dollar (AUD) emerging as the top gainer, while several Asian currencies faced pressure. Here’s a breakdown of the latest action:


    🔼 Top Currency Gainers

    🇦🇺 Australian Dollar (AUD) – +0.30%

    The AUD surged on the back of robust trade data and stronger commodity prices, outpacing its peers in today’s session.

    💵 Dollar Index (DXY) – +0.02%

    The U.S. Dollar index posted a modest gain as traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. labor market reports later this week.


    🔽 Top Currency Losers

    🇰🇷 South Korean Won (KRW) – -0.26%

    The KRW dropped the most among major currencies due to export concerns and regional geopolitical uncertainty.

    🇯🇵 Japanese Yen (JPY) – -0.18%

    The JPY weakened as the Bank of Japan stays committed to its ultra-loose monetary stance.

    🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP) – -0.10%

    The GBP slipped after soft inflation data led traders to price in a more dovish outlook from the Bank of England.

    🇪🇺 Euro (EUR) – -0.03%

    The Euro edged slightly lower amid mixed eurozone data and cautious signals from the European Central Bank (ECB).


    📊 FX Performance Summary

    CurrencyChange (%)Movement
    🇦🇺 AUD+0.30%Strong Gain
    💵 DXY+0.02%Mild Upside
    🇪🇺 EUR-0.03%Slight Decline
    🇬🇧 GBP-0.10%Weakening
    🇯🇵 JPY-0.18%Under Pressure
    🇰🇷 KRW-0.26%Sharp Decline

    💬 Market Outlook

    With commodity markets holding firm and economic data rolling in, traders will continue watching central bank policy cues and geopolitical developments. The AUD’s strength may persist if risk sentiment remains positive, while Asian currencies may stay under pressure without regional economic improvement.


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