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Asian Stocks Track Wall Street Rally as Trump Cools Tariff Threats

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Asian stocks tracked a strong Wall Street rally on Thursday after US President Donald Trump cooled tariff threats against key European nations during the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos. The move eased fears of a global trade war and sparked renewed optimism across global markets.

Investors also cheered a powerful rebound in technology stocks, driven by fresh enthusiasm around artificial intelligence after Nvidia’s CEO said the sector would require trillions of dollars in investment.

Asian Markets Rise as Trade Tensions Ease

Markets across Asia climbed after Trump signalled a softer stance on tariffs linked to European opposition to the US interest in Greenland.

Earlier in the week, markets were rattled when Trump warned he could impose levies on countries including:

  • Germany
  • France
  • Britain
  • Denmark

Those threats triggered warnings of retaliation from European leaders, fuelling volatility and driving investors toward safe-haven assets such as gold and silver.

However, sentiment shifted after Trump told delegates in Davos that he would not use force to take Greenland and later confirmed he had retracted the planned tariffs.

“Based upon this understanding, I will not be imposing the tariffs that were scheduled to go into effect on February 1st,” Trump said on Truth Social.

Wall Street Rally Lifts Asian Stocks

The announcement sparked a rally of more than 1% in US stocks, helping markets recover from sharp losses earlier in the week. Asian stocks followed Wall Street higher, with gains seen across the region:

  • Tokyo
  • Hong Kong
  • Shanghai
  • Sydney
  • Seoul
  • Singapore
  • Taipei
  • Manila

Analysts noted renewed confidence in what traders call the “Trump put”—the belief that sharp market declines pressure the US president to soften aggressive economic policies.

Tech Stocks Surge as AI Optimism Returns

Tech-heavy markets led the gains as enthusiasm for artificial intelligence surged back into focus.

At the World Economic Forum, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the AI boom has triggered:

“The largest infrastructure buildout in human history.”

He added that while hundreds of billions of dollars have already been invested, trillions more will be required across:

  • Energy infrastructure
  • Cloud computing
  • Semiconductor manufacturing
  • Advanced electronics

Major Tech Movers

  • Samsung Electronics: +3%
  • SK hynix: +3%
  • SoftBank: +7%
  • Advantest & Tokyo Electron: +4%
  • Disco Corp: +17% after strong earnings
  • TSMC: +1%

South Korea’s benchmark index topped 5,000 points for the first time, driven by chipmaker gains.

Safe-Haven Assets Retreat

As risk appetite improved, gold and silver prices fell, extending losses from the previous session. Both metals had recently hit record highs as investors sought protection from escalating geopolitical risks.

According to SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes, markets reacted positively to Trump’s de-escalation:

“The market went from pricing a live grenade to pricing an option that expires sometime later.”

Key Market Snapshot

Asia (around 0230 GMT):

  • Nikkei 225: +1.9%
  • Hang Seng Index: +0.2%
  • Shanghai Composite: +0.2%

US & Europe:

  • Dow Jones: +1.2%
  • FTSE 100: +0.1%

Commodities:

  • WTI Crude: $60.69 (+0.1%)
  • Brent Crude: $65.29 (+0.1%)

Conclusion: Markets Welcome a Calmer Tone

Asian stocks tracking the Wall Street rally highlight how quickly global markets respond to shifts in political tone. Trump’s retreat from tariff threats reduced immediate trade war fears, while renewed excitement around AI helped propel tech stocks higher.

With volatility still elevated, investors will remain focused on geopolitical signals, trade policy, and technology investment trends in the weeks ahead.

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    Global Market Update

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    • US equities were mostly flat as traders awaited the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision.
    • S&P 500: +0.1%
    • Dow Jones: +90 points
    • Nasdaq: Near unchanged
    • Expectations: Markets are widely pricing in a 25 bp rate cut on Wednesday. Focus is shifting to the Fed’s updated economic projections, especially regarding the pace of policy easing in 2026.

    Labor Market

    • JOLTS (Sept & Oct): Job openings came in above expectations, signaling still-firm demand for labor.
    • ADP employment (weekly average through Nov 22):
      • Private employers added ~4,750 jobs per week, ending three straight periods of declines.
      • Suggests job losses eased in mid-November.
    • Official November payrolls:

    Corporate Highlights

    • Nvidia: –1%
      • Reports that China may restrict domestic chip purchases.
      • This follows President Trump’s approval for Nvidia to sell H200 chips to China under the condition that 25% of revenue goes to the U.S. government.
    • Home Depot: –1%+
      • Issued weaker-than-expected 2026 earnings growth guidance.
    • M&A Focus:

    Germany – Export Data (October 2025)

    • Exports: +0.1% MoM to €131.3B, a 6-month high (vs. –0.2% expected).
    • Regional breakdown:
      • EU exports: +2.7%
        • Euro area: +2.5%
        • Non-euro EU: +3.1%
      • Third-country exports: –3.3%
        • US: –7.8% (impact of ongoing tariffs; follows +11.9% in Sept)
        • UK: –6.5%
        • China: –5.8%
    • YTD (Jan–Oct 2025): €1.31T in exports, +1.1% YoY. source: Federal Statistical Office

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      Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Retreats Below $38.50 Amid Dollar Strength

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      Silver (XAG/USD) is pulling back after touching recent highs above $39.00. Now trading below $38.50 as the US Dollar extends its rally. The decline comes as the US Dollar Index (DXY) posts gains for the fourth consecutive session.

      Supported by a weak Euro amid political turmoil in France.

      Although markets remain cautious about the Federal Reserve’s independence and rising expectations of rate cuts, the Greenback’s resilience is keeping precious metals under pressure.

      Technical Analysis: $38.35 Support Key for Silver Bears

      Silver Technical Analysis

      From a technical perspective, XAG/USD shows a bearish correction from last week’s one-month high at $39.07. Price action is testing support at $38.35 (August 25–26 lows).

      • A break below $38.35 could drag Silver toward the August 22 low at $37.70, with the next support at $37.25, the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
      • On the upside, immediate resistance lies near $38.75 and $38.85, followed by the August 22 high at $39.10 and July 22 high at $39.55.

      Outlook for Traders

      Silver traders should closely watch the $38.35 support zone. A downside break may accelerate bearish momentum, while a rebound above $38.75 could bring back buyers targeting $39.10 and beyond.

      For now, Dollar strength remains the dominant driver, leaving Silver vulnerable to further declines.

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        UK Inflation Jumps to 3.8% in July 2025, Highest in Over a Year

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        The UK inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July 2025, marking its highest level since January 2024. This was up from 3.6% in June and slightly above market forecasts of 3.7%, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

        The main driver of the increase came from the transport sector, where prices climbed 3.2% compared to 1.7% in June. Airfares surged by a sharp 30.2%, largely influenced by the timing of the school summer holidays. Higher motor fuel costs, sea fares, and roadside recovery services also pushed transport inflation higher.

        Other notable contributors included restaurants and hotels, where prices rose 3.4% versus 2.6% in June, largely due to more expensive overnight hotel stays. Food and non-alcoholic beverages also accelerated, rising 4.9% compared to 4.5% the previous month.

        On the other hand, housing and household services eased slightly, providing some relief. Inflation in this category dropped to 6.2% from 6.7%, reflecting softer growth in owner-occupiers’ housing costs and rents.

        On a monthly basis, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.1% in July, defying expectations of a 0.1% decline. However, this was slower than June’s 0.3% rise. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, also edged up to 3.8% from 3.7%. source: Office for National Statistics

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          United States Stock Market Index & Housing Market Update – August 2025

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          Economic Calendar Major Upcoming Events

          Stock Market Overview

          US stocks saw limited movements on Monday, with major indexes holding near their record highs from last week. The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all traded flat as investors awaited fresh catalysts, particularly from:

          • The Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting minutes
          • The Jackson Hole Symposium later this week

          Both are expected to offer hints on the Fed’s interest rate outlook.

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          Equities remain supported by growing bets on multiple rate cuts this year, as markets respond to signs of a softening labor market and disinflation pressures.

          Key Market Highlights:

          • Chipmakers and AI-exposed stocks climbed, with Nvidia (+0.5%) staying near record highs despite recent US export controls.
          • Retail stocks were mixed ahead of upcoming quarterly earnings reports.
          • Geopolitical backdrop: EU leaders prepared to meet Ukraine’s President Zelensky following US President Trump’s summit with Russian President Putin.

          NAHB Housing Market Index – August 2025

          The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) slipped to 32 in August 2025, down from 33 in July and below expectations of 34, signaling persistent challenges in the housing sector.

          Breakdown of Housing Data:

          • Current sales conditions: fell one point to 35
          • Sales expectations (next 6 months): steady at 43
          • Buyer traffic: rose two points to 22, still at historically low levels

          Builder Incentives & Pricing Trends:

          • 37% of builders cut prices in August (down from 38% in July)
          • Average price reduction remained at 5% for the tenth straight month
          • 66% of builders used sales incentives, the highest post-Covid level, up from 62% in July

          This data reflects ongoing affordability concerns, limited buyer demand, and sustained reliance on incentives to stimulate sales. source: National Association of Home Builders

          United States Nahb Housing Market Index

          Outlook

          • Stock Market: Investors remain cautious but optimistic, balancing AI-driven growth and monetary policy expectations.
          • Housing Market: Persistent weakness in builder confidence highlights the impact of affordability challenges, even as incentives expand.

          📊 Both markets remain heavily influenced by Federal Reserve policy signals, making this week’s Jackson Hole Symposium a pivotal event for investors and analysts.

          Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

          1. What is the current United States Stock Market Index level in August 2025?

          In August 2025, the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones remain near record highs after a strong rally earlier in the month. Markets are currently trading flat as investors await signals from the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.

          2. Why are US stocks trading flat despite strong AI and chipmaker performance?

          While AI-related stocks like Nvidia continue to perform strongly, overall market movement is subdued due to uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. Investors are waiting for clarity from the Jackson Hole Symposium and FOMC meeting minutes.

          3. What does the NAHB Housing Market Index measure?

          The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) measures builder confidence in the housing market, covering current sales, buyer traffic, and future sales expectations. A reading above 50 indicates optimism, while below 50 reflects weakness.

          4. Why did the NAHB Housing Market Index fall in August 2025?

          The index fell to 32 in August 2025 due to weak buyer demand, affordability challenges, and higher reliance on sales incentives and price cuts by builders.

          5. Are US home builders offering more incentives in 2025?

          Yes. In August 2025, 66% of builders reported using sales incentives, the highest since the post-Covid period. Price cuts remain common, with an average reduction of 5% per home.

          Technical Analysis: S&P 500 – August 2025

          The S&P 500 continues to hover near record highs after its sharp rally this summer. Momentum remains strong, but the index is showing signs of consolidation as traders await policy signals from the Federal Reserve.

          Key Technical Levels

          • Resistance Zone: 5,650 – 5,700 → The index is struggling to break above this level, marking a potential short-term ceiling.
          • Support Levels:
            • 5,500 (near-term support) – A break below could invite short-term selling.
            • 5,350 (major support) – A key level to watch, aligning with the 50-day moving average (50-DMA).

          Moving Averages

          • 50-Day Moving Average (50-DMA): ~5,350 – Currently acting as strong dynamic support.
          • 200-Day Moving Average (200-DMA): ~4,950 – Well below current levels, confirming a longer-term bullish trend.

          Momentum Indicators

          • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Hovering around 64, just below the overbought threshold (70). This suggests the index is consolidating but not yet in danger of a deep correction.
          • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Still in positive territory, though momentum is flattening, pointing to a possible range-bound movement in the short term.

          Chart Outlook

          The S&P 500 remains bullish in the medium to long term, supported by AI-driven growth and easing inflation expectations. However, short-term consolidation is likely until traders get more clarity from Fed policy announcements.

          Trading Strategy (Not Financial Advice):

          • Bullish bias above 5,500 support
          • Watch for a breakout above 5,700 for continuation toward new record highs
          • Caution: A sustained break below 5,350 could trigger deeper pullbacks

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            U.S. Mortgage Applications Surge, Markets Rally Amid Trade Developments, and Mexico Inflation Softens

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            Mortgage Applications See Strongest Weekly Rise in a Month

            In the first week of July 2025, the volume of U.S. mortgage applications soared by 9.4% from the previous week — the largest increase in a month, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. This marks the third consecutive weekly gain, the longest streak since December 2024, as benchmark mortgage rates dipped to their lowest since April.

            Refinancing activity, which tends to respond quickly to changes in short-term rates, jumped 9% week-over-week and surged 56% compared to the same period in 2024. Similarly, purchase applications rose 9% on the week and were up 25% year-over-year, highlighting renewed strength in the housing market. source: Mortgage Bankers Association of America

            Markets Edge Higher on Trade Announcements and Fed Speculation

            U.S. equities closed higher on Wednesday as traders digested updates on trade policy and awaited the Federal Reserve’s next moves. The S&P 500 gained 0.5%, the Nasdaq climbed 0.7%, and the Dow Jones rose by nearly 200 points.

            President Trump signaled that major trade announcements would be made, including a planned 50% tariff on copper imports and potential 200% tariffs on pharmaceuticals, though implementation is delayed by 12–18 months to give industries time to adapt.

            Market participants are closely watching for the FOMC minutes release, which may offer insights into the timing of potential interest rate cuts. Expectations remain strong for two 25 basis point cuts before year-end.

            Technology stocks led gains, with Nvidia up 2.2% and Microsoft rising 1.2%. Apple shares were flat, following a statement by White House Trade Counselor Peter Navarro suggesting the company considers itself “too big to tariff.”

            Mexico’s Inflation Slows but Core Pressures Rise

            Mexico’s annual inflation rate eased to 4.32% in June 2025, down slightly from 4.42% in May, aligning closely with market expectations of 4.31%, according to the national statistics agency INEGI.

            Price growth moderated in agriculture (5.04% vs 6.76%) and energy (3.56% vs 3.93%), while accelerating for goods, food, beverages, and services. Notably, core inflation ticked up to 4.24%, suggesting that underlying price pressures remain sticky.

            On a monthly basis, inflation was unchanged at 0.28%, maintaining the same pace as in May.  Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI)

            Conclusion

            With falling mortgage rates energizing the U.S. housing market, equity markets buoyed by trade policy hints, and inflation trends in Mexico showing mixed signals, July 2025 is shaping up to be a pivotal month for both investors and policymakers.

            Stay tuned for more updates on monetary policy, inflation data, and global economic trends.

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              Markets eye US tariff deadline, FOMC minutes, global central bank moves, and key data from China, Germany, UK, and Canada in the week of July 7.

              by

              🌍 Global Themes

              • Trade Tensions Return: The July 9th deadline marks the end of the US tariff pause. Only partial deals (UK, Vietnam, China framework) are in place. Markets are bracing for possible escalations and their impact on global trade flows.
              • Fed Watch: Investors await the FOMC minutes and several Fed speeches to gauge the outlook for interest rates. Chair Powell maintains a cautious tone, but markets want more clues on the path for policy in H2.
              • Central Bank Decisions: Policy meetings in Australia, South Korea, Malaysia, and New Zealand could signal regional divergence amid slowing global growth and easing inflation.

              🇺🇸 United States

              • Tariff Deadline: High stakes around the July 9th expiration of tariff relief. Key sectors may face higher import costs unless further agreements are reached.
              • Fed & Data:
                • FOMC minutes and Fed speeches in focus.
                • Data includes: Weekly jobless claims, consumer credit, NFIB Small Business Index, and budget statement.
              • Earnings Season Kickoff:
                • Watch Delta Air Lines and Conagra Brands earnings on Thursday for early corporate sentiment.

              🇨🇦 Canada

              • June Jobs Report and Ivey PMI will shape expectations around Bank of Canada’s next move.

              🇲🇽 Mexico & 🇧🇷 Brazil

              • Mexico: June inflation report will guide Banxico’s next rate decision.
              • Brazil: Updates on inflation, retail sales, and business confidence are due.

              🇪🇺 Europe

              • Germany: Expected second monthly industrial production decline, plus trade, wholesale prices, and final inflation data.
              • Eurozone: First dip in retail sales in 5 months.
              • UK: Key data on monthly GDP, industrial output, trade balance, and Halifax house prices.
              • Italy & France: Final inflation and industrial figures.
              • Others: Switzerland (consumer confidence), Turkey (IP), Russia (inflation).

              🌏 Asia-Pacific

              • China:
                • CPI likely flat; PPI deflation to ease (still -3.2% y/y).
              • Japan:
                • Full slate of data: wages, current account, machine orders, producer prices.
              • Australia:
                • RBA decision: Third rate cut (25 bps) expected.
              • South Korea & Malaysia:
                • Monetary policy updates amid growth concerns.
              • New Zealand:
                • RBNZ to hold at 3.25%.
              • Others:
                • Inflation data: Vietnam, Thailand, Taiwan.
                • Singapore: GDP growth to be closely watched.

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                U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Beat Expectations in June 2025 Amid Economic Resilience

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                U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Rise 147K in June, Topping Expectations

                The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June 2025, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, surpassing forecasts of 110,000 and marking a slight uptick from an upwardly revised 144,000 in May. The latest reading aligns with the 12-month average of 146,000, continuing to demonstrate labor market resilience despite economic headwinds.

                Government jobs made up nearly half the gains, adding 73,000 positions, primarily in state education (+40K) and local education (+23K). Federal government employment, however, declined by 7,000, continuing a downtrend since its January peak.

                Healthcare remained a key driver, adding 39,000 jobs, with hospitals (+16K) and nursing and residential care facilities (+14K) leading the way. Social assistance roles also grew by 19,000.

                ⚠️ Analysts caution that a hiring slowdown could emerge as uncertainty surrounding tariffs, trade, and immigration policies persists.

                ISM Services PMI Rebounds to 50.8

                The ISM Services PMI climbed to 50.8 in June, up from 49.9 in May, exceeding expectations of 50.5. This signals a return to modest growth in the services sector after a brief contraction.

                Key highlights:

                • Business activity rose to 54.2 (vs 50.0)
                • New orders rebounded to 51.3 (vs 46.4)
                • Inventories and export orders also improved
                • Price pressures eased slightly to 67.5 from 68.7

                However, concerns about tariffs and slowing supplier delivery performance (50.3 vs 52.5) remain prevalent. Middle East tensions were noted for the first time, though no direct supply disruptions were reported.

                U.S. Trade Deficit Widens Sharply

                The U.S. trade deficit widened to $71.5 billion in May, up from $60.3 billion in April, as exports dropped 4% to $279 billion, led by declines in nonmonetary gold, natural gas, and finished metal shapes. Imports dipped just 0.1% to $350.5 billion.

                Major trade gap increases:

                • EU: -$22.5B (from -$17.9B)
                • Mexico: -$17.1B (from -$13.5B)
                • Canada and Vietnam: modest increases
                • China: narrowed to -$14B (from -$19.7B)

                   source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

                Markets Rally on Strong Jobs Data and AI Optimism

                All three major U.S. indices climbed over 0.8% on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 closing at record highs. The strong June payroll report and an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1% fueled investor confidence.

                Big movers:

                • Nvidia: +1.3%
                • Synopsys: +4.2% on lifted U.S. export restrictions to China
                • Cadence Design & Synopsys: ~+5% on AI strength
                • Datadog: +10% on S&P 500 inclusion

                Optimism also stemmed from progress in the U.S.-Vietnam trade deal and the House nearing final approval of President Trump’s $3.4 trillion tax-and-spending bill.

                Key Takeaways

                • Labor market continues to show strength but faces downside risks.
                • Services sector rebounds, though growth remains modest.
                • Trade imbalance widens on export slump.
                • Stock market surges on tech gains and policy optimism.

                Conclusion

                The June 2025 economic indicators paint a mixed yet cautiously optimistic picture. While the labor market and services sector show resilience, trade imbalances and policy uncertainty loom large. Investors appear encouraged by tech sector momentum and fiscal stimulus prospects, but volatility could reemerge as global tensions and trade debates evolve.

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                  📉 DE40 Slips as Inflation Cools and Retail Sales Drop: Germany Stock Market Outlook

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                  📊 Germany Stock Market Index (DE40) Falls Amid Economic Uncertainty

                  The Germany Stock Market Index (DE40)—which tracks the performance of 40 top German blue-chip stocks—closed down 0.5% at 23,910 on Monday, breaking a two-day winning streak. The decline comes amid mixed domestic economic data and renewed trade concerns.

                  🇩🇪 Key Economic Indicators in Germany

                  ✅ Inflation Cools in June

                  German inflation surprised markets by dropping to 2.0% year-on-year in June, down from 2.1% in May and below the 2.2% forecast. This signals easing price pressure, potentially giving the European Central Bank (ECB) more flexibility on interest rates.

                  ❌ Retail Sales Point to Weak Consumer Demand

                  Germany’s retail sales fell 1.6% in May, following a 0.6% drop in April. This back-to-back decline underlines sluggish domestic consumption, a key factor limiting broader economic recovery in Europe’s largest economy.

                  🌐 Trade Tensions Add Market Pressure

                  Global trade uncertainty continues to weigh on the German stock market. U.S. President Trump confirmed that trade negotiations are ongoing but won’t extend the current 90-day tariff pause beyond July 9. This raises risks for Germany’s export-heavy economy, especially sectors like automotive and chemicals.

                  🔻 Biggest DAX Losers: Symrise and Bayer

                  • Symrise AG led the market declines with a sharp 7% drop, likely due to sector sentiment or earnings-related concerns.
                  • Bayer AG tumbled 5.4% after the U.S. Supreme Court requested the government’s opinion on Monsanto weedkiller litigation, reigniting legal uncertainty for the pharma and agrochemical giant.

                  📆 DE40 Monthly Performance

                  Despite occasional gains, the DAX (DE40) ended June with a modest 0.4% loss, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic headwinds and market caution.

                  📌 What to Watch Next

                  • July 9 Trade Deadline: Markets will closely monitor whether new tariffs are imposed.
                  • Upcoming ECB Decisions: Slower inflation may influence monetary policy.
                  • Consumer Confidence & Earnings Reports: Key indicators for Q3 market direction.
                  Line chart of DE40 index performance (June 2024 2025)
                  EU Stock Indexes

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                    US Stocks Surge as Tariff Truce and Fed Rate Cut Hopes Fuel Rally | June 2025 Market Update

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                    US stock market chart hitting record highs in June 2025

                    📈 US Stocks Surge as Fed Cut Hopes and Trade Truce Drive Gains

                    Published: June 30, 2025
                    Category: Markets & Economy

                    US equities rallied on Monday, extending last week’s gains as easing trade tensions and growing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve pushed major indexes to record highs.

                    🔼 Major Indexes Reach New Highs

                    • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100: Up 0.5% each
                    • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Gained over 200 points

                    📰 Market Drivers

                    1. 🇺🇸 US-China Trade Agreement

                    The US and China announced a formal agreement to prevent new tariffs, with President Trump showing flexibility on the July 9 deadline for reintroducing reciprocal tariffs. This marks a major de-escalation from past tensions, when tariffs reached up to 145%.

                    2. 🏦 Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise

                    Investor confidence is rising as soft inflation data and global uncertainties increase the likelihood of multiple Fed rate cuts in 2025.

                    3. 💻 Tech Sector Strengthens

                    • Canada scrapped its digital services tax, boosting US tech stocks and reopening trade talks.
                    • Meta and Alphabet shares rose 1%.
                    • Juniper Networks soared 9% after the DoJ approved its HP acquisition, settling a legal dispute.

                    💶 Eurozone: Euro Hits $1.17 as German Inflation Falls

                    The euro rose to its highest level since September 2021, trading just above $1.17, bolstered by:

                    • Weaker US dollar from dovish Fed sentiment
                    • Fiscal concerns in the US
                    • Cooling inflation in Germany

                    🇩🇪 Germany Inflation Back to Target

                    According to the Federal Statistical Office:

                    • CPI fell to 2.0% in June, down from 2.1%, beating forecasts
                    • Core inflation eased to 2.7%, a 3-month low
                    • Food inflation slowed to 2.0%, energy prices dropped -3.5%
                    • Monthly CPI was flat, following a 0.1% rise in May

                    🏦 ECB Policy Outlook

                    While inflation edged up slightly in France, Italy, and Spain, the ECB maintains a cautious approach.
                    Vice President Luis de Guindos reaffirmed that the current policy is appropriate, but warned of the need for flexibility amid economic uncertainty.

                    Markets continue to price the ECB’s terminal rate around 1.75%–1.80%.

                    📊 Key Takeaways

                    • ✅ US markets are responding positively to reduced geopolitical risk and a potential easing cycle from the Fed.
                    • ✅ Eurozone inflation data provides mixed signals but supports a stable ECB outlook.
                    • ✅ Tech stocks may continue to benefit from regulatory relief and favorable trade shifts.

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